A North Korean missile launch | Image: KCNA (Oct. 10, 2022)
North Korea fired at least 23 missiles into the waters off the east and west coast throughout the day Wednesday, including one that was directed toward South Korea’s Ulleung Island before splashing down off the east coast near South Korean territorial waters, according to the ROK military.
It was Pyongyang’s busiest day of missile launches on record, and comes as Washington and Seoul conduct joint Vigilant Storm air force drills in South Korea.
Seoul called Pyongyang’s missile launch into waters near the ROK east coast “unprecedented” and retaliated by firing missiles into waters a similar distance off the DPRK coast later in the day.
ISLAND ALERTED
At around 8:51 a.m. Wednesday, the ROK military “detected three short-range ballistic missiles that North Korea fired from Kangwon Province’s Wonsan region, and one of these fell in international waters of the East Sea, south of the Northern Limit Line (NLL),” according to the JCS.
The joint chiefs added the missile fired toward Ulleung Island splashed down 16 miles (26 km) south of the NLL, just 35 miles (57 km) east of the coastal city of Sokcho and 104 miles (167 km) northwest of the island. This means it likely landed in South Korea’s exclusive economic zone (EEZ).
“The North Korean missile launch today is the first time a DPRK missile fell near our territorial waters south of the NLL since the division [of the Korean Peninsula after World War II],” Army Lieutenant General Kang Shin-chul, JCS’s chief director of operations, said in a rare video announcement of the South Korean military’s position.
“This is highly unprecedented and can never be tolerated,” Kang said, adding “our military declares we will respond firmly to this.” Hours later, ROK air force jets fired missiles into the high seas off North Korea’s coast in retaliation.
The ROK issued an air raid alert for residents on the island shortly after detecting the missile, and kept the alert in place until 2 p.m. KST.
Socialmediaposts on Wednesday morning showed photos and videos of a red-banner emergency alert on South Korean television broadcasts that read, “Evacuate to the nearest underground shelter and listen to broadcasts.” The warning stated that the air raid alarm had been issued at 8:55 a.m.
A map showing where North Korea conducted at least 18 missile launches and fired artillery on Wednesday. The red circle indicates where one SRBM landed after being launched from Wonsan in the direction of South Korea’s Ulleung Island, south of the NLL and just off the ROK east coast | Image: Google Maps, edited by NK News
TIMELINE: AT LEAST 23 MISSILES, 100 ARTILLERY SHELLS
The 23 or more missiles North Korea fired on Wednesday morning included both short-range ballistic missiles (SRBMs) and surface-to-air missiles, according to the JCS.
At 6:51 a.m. KST, the South Korean military detected four SRBMs that North Korea fired into the Yellow Sea off its west coast, likely launched from Jongju City and Phihyon County, North Phyongan Province.
Two hours later at 8:51 a.m., North Korea fired three more SRBMs into the East Sea from the coastal city of Wonsan, Kangwon Province.
One of these three missiles crossed the NLL into international waters, the first time that a DPRK ballistic missile has ever splashed down near ROK territorial waters, according to South Korea’s JCS. Two minutes after that missile was detected, an air raid alert was issued at 8:53 a.m. via a system under the Ministry of Interior and Safety
Then, around 20 minutes later, at 9:12 a.m. KST, North Korea fired around 10 more missiles that the South Korean military saw as likely SRBMs and surface-to-air missiles, the JCS said.
Some of these were fired from Rakwon, Jongphyong and Sinpho in South Hamgyong Province and splashed down into the East Sea. Others were launched from Onchon and Hwajin of South Phyongan Province and Kwail of South Hwanghae Province into the Yellow Sea.
Then at around 1:27 p.m. KST, North Korea additionally fired around 100 shots of artillery into the inter-Korean maritime buffer zone established in 2018, but the shells landed north of the maritime border (NLL). The shells were likely fired from Kosong, Kangwon Province and represent a breach of the inter-Korean military agreement, the JCS said.
At 4:34 p.m. KST, the Japanese defense ministry said North Korea launched yet another potential ballistic missile, the 18th reported missile of the day.
The South Korean military then announced around 6:30 p.m. KST that it detected an “additional six surface-to-air missiles, etc. fired into the East and West Seas,” adding to the 17 they confirmed earlier in the day.
The one missile Japan reported after 4 p.m. KST may be included in the six ROK counted most recently, bringing the total to at least 23 missiles fired Wednesday. The JCS is expected to release further details on the latest launch locations later.
SOUTH KOREA STRIKES BACK
In the afternoon, the JCS announced that South Korean jets fired missiles into waters off North Korea’s east coast at around 11:10 a.m. KST, after North Korea launched a total of at least 17 missiles in the morning.
The ROK F-15K and KF-16 jets fired three “precision air-to-surface missiles” into “international waters north of the NLL,” according to the ROK military. The JCS later explained that the missiles were SPICE-2000 and SLAM-ER models.
The JCS did not reveal the location from which the warplanes fired the missiles but explained that the projectiles splashed down at a distance north of the NLL that “corresponds” with where the DPRK missiles landed south of the border.
“ROK military’s precision firing today has shown our willingness to firmly respond to any North Korean provocations, such as short-range ballistic missiles, and that we have the capability and readiness to precision-strike our enemy,” JCS said.
“North Korea is continuing provocations despite our military’s repeated warnings,” the JCS added. “All responsibility lies with North Korea for any situation that happens afterward.”
In an image taken just before 11:00 a.m. KST the same day, an unusual number of unidentified objects appeared in Planet Labs imagery outside a row of jet parking covers at the Wonsan airport, a military airbase, indicating the DPRK may have conducted jet drills of their own on Wednesday. The objects weren’t there the day before (left image) or other recent days, but the area in front of the parking covers looked similarly busy in an image taken on Oct. 8, a day North Koreasaid they conducted air force drills.
Images: Planet Labs PBH, edited by NK News
TIMING
Wednesday’s missile salvo comes days after more than 150 South Koreans died in a tragic crowd crush in Seoul, leading President Yoon Suk-yeol to declare a weeklong period of national mourning.
The presidential office condemned the timing of the latest launches after Yoon led an emergency National Security Council (NSC) meeting early Wednesday.
The NSC “deplores North Korea’s provocation conducted during the ROK’s national mourning period, which clearly reflects and shows how unhumanitarian the North Korean regime is, transgressing human moralities,” his office stated in a press release, blaming North Korea for rising tensions.
“President Yoon pointed out that today’s North Korean provocation is an act of de facto territorial invasion via a missile, committed in the format of violating the NLL for the first time since the division [of the peninsula],” the statement reads. “He made it clear that any attempt by North Korea to sway our society, and the ROK-U.S. alliance, will not work.”
WEATHERING THE STORM
The latest test comes as the U.S. and South Korea hold their largest-ever air force exercise namedVigilant Storm, during which the allies are scheduled to conduct around 1,600 sorties throughout the week.
The U.S. has deployed F-35B stealth jets to the Korean Peninsula for the first time for the exercises, and F-35A South Korean jets are also participating. In total, around 380 aircraft are to join from both sides.
Pak Jong Chon, North Korea’s top military official — marshal of the Korean People’s Army and a member of the powerful Politburo Presidium — criticized the air drills as an “aggressive provocation” overnight (midday Tuesday U.S. time) and threatened a “shocking incident” if the allies ever attacked North Korea.
The DPRK foreign ministry released a similar statement on Monday, accusing the U.S. of raising tensions through drills and warning the U.S. to be prepared to pay an “equal price” for such exercises. The ministry also defended DPRK missile tests as a response to the allies’ drills.
“They’re accepting substantially more risk with missile demonstrations, it seems,” said Ankit Panda, a missile exert at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. “They’ve been conducting operational drills all year, and Pak Jong Chon just threatened countermeasures, so this is almost certainly going to be something like the KN23 at work versus a newer missile in development.”
He added that the missile that fell south of NLL is a breach of the inter-Korean military agreement signed in 2018, which Pyongyang already violated multiple times in recent weeks.
North Korea last conducted a missile test on Friday, firing a short-range projectile into the East Sea.
Ifang Bremer contributed reporting to this article. Edited by Bryan Betts and Arius Derr.
Colin Zwirko is a Senior Analytic Correspondent for NK News based in Seoul. He joined the company in 2018 after receiving a master's degree in international security and foreign policy from South Korea's Yonsei University. Follow him on Bluesky / Twitter.
Jeongmin Kim is Executive Director at Korea Risk Group, based in Seoul. She covers inter-Korean relations and North and South Korean foreign and military affairs. Kim has covered the 2022 ROK presidential election on the ground, and prior to joining NK News, she worked for the CSIS Korea Chair in Washington D.C. and Reuters news agency’s Seoul bureau.