The corruption scandal that has enveloped the South Korean administration of Park Geun-hye is a key variable in the future development of inter-Korean relations.

Unfortunately, the outcome of the scandal is not easy to read; the road ahead forks repeatedly. In essence, future inter-Korean policy turns on two factors. First, timing: Will Park stand down, be impeached, or attempt to ride out the scandal to the end of her term in January 2018? If she does leave office before the end of her term, when will she go? This will impact the second key issue: personnel. If/when