Chad O'Carroll is the founder of NK News/NK Pro and related holding company Korea Risk Group. In addition to being the group's CEO, O'Carroll is a frequent writer and commentator about the Koreas, having written about the two nations since 2010. He has visited the DPRK multiple times, worked and lived in Washington, D.C. with a focus on peninsula issues, and lived in the ROK since 2016.
Experts question capabilities of South Korea’s reserve forces should mass call-ups become a reality
DPRK’s increasing threats and improved military capabilities set 2024 apart from past periods of escalation
Rotation of diplomat and staff is only third after China and Russia since DPRK shut its borders in 2020
Kim Jong Un says he won’t start a war, but Seoul’s stance on retaliation gives DPRK a pretext to be provoked
Some fear Seoul will use role to deny sanctions exemptions or derail diplomacy, though others predict little impact
Pyongyang ditched goal of unification and braced for conflict, while celebrating progress in military and economy
Most experts predict continued isolation and decline, while minority say Russia and China will prop up DPRK economy
Survey finds most experts expect partial reopening for only allies or embassies, as hardliners push to maintain control
Most experts agree ROK unlikely to develop nukes, but doubts about US commitment could lead Seoul to reconsider
Vast majority of experts say DPRK sanctions regime is increasingly ineffective, but many argue it still has role to play
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