Arms buildup between two Koreas heightens risk of conventional and nuclear war



Analysis Arms buildup between two Koreas heightens risk of conventional and nuclear war In-depth review of military capabilities on the peninsula underscores obstacles to peace and catastrophic costs of war James M. Minnich October 25, 2021 SHARE COPY LINK FACEBOOK X LINKEDIN MASTODON KCNA \| North Korean soldiers march at the military parade on Oct. 10, 2020 Overshadowed by decades’ long efforts toward denuclearization is the ongoing conventional arms buildup on the Korean Peninsula that will prove central to any future armed conflict between the two Koreas. Unlike other large militaries that defend long territorial fronts like China or that deploy forward like the U.S., the Korean People’s Army (KPA) of the DPRK is singularly organized to deter, defend against and defeat as necessary the Republic of Korea-United States Combined Forces Command (ROK-U.S. CFC). The KPA’s narrow purpose, coupled with a home turf advantage, helps compensate for shortfalls from limited Read More © Korea Risk Group. All rights reserved. No part of this content may be reproduced, distributed, or used for commercial purposes without prior written permission from Korea Risk Group. LATEST ANALYSIS 01New North Korean ICBM delivers big political message, and likely bigger payloads 02How North Korea-Russia ties will challenge next US president, no matter who wins 03What to make of the stunning collapse in value of North Korean won 04What to know about Kim Yong Bok, the man leading North Korean troops in Russia 05If Trump: How erratic leader’s reelection could scramble North Korea policy 06North Korea’s admission of drone incursion exposes glaring gaps in air defenses 07The war in Ukraine is transforming how Europe perceives North Korean threats 08What North Korea stands to gain by sending troops to fight in Ukraine 09Satellite imagery shows DPRK laid explosives at edge of MDL to destroy roads 10Deciphering the return of No Kwang Chol as North Korea’s minister of defense

About the Author

James M. Minnich

Dr. James M. Minnich, Colonel U.S. Army retired, is a professor at the Asia-Pacific Center for Security Studies in Honolulu. Formerly he was associate dean and senior military professor, and is now chair of the Northeast Asia Group and Women, Peace, and Security Group. He has had sustained in-depth experiences in Asia since 1982, including 15 years in Korea. In 2016, the South Korean president awarded him the Order of National Security Merit Samil for long and substantive service in defense of the Republic of Korea. He served in Korea as the secretary of the United Nations Command Military Armistice Commission, deputy chief of the Joint U.S. Military Affairs Group, and chief of the USFK Policy Branch. He is a 2009 senior service college distinguished honor graduate from the Korean National Defense University, and a 2001 graduate from the Korean Army College. He earned a doctorate from the University of Southern California, master’s degrees from Harvard University and the U.S. Army Command and General Staff College, and a diploma in Korean language studies from Sogang University in Seoul. He has written several books and articles on various security issues. The opinions expressed in this article do not necessarily reflect official policies or positions of DKI APCSS, the U.S. Department of Defense, or the U.S. government.

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