How North Korea and Russia could capitalize on China’s desire for access to sea



Analysis How North Korea and Russia could capitalize on China’s desire for access to sea Navigating Tumen River would strengthen Beijing’s hand, so DPRK will seek max benefits for giving China what it wants Artyom Lukin \| Pavel Cherkashin August 21, 2024 SHARE COPY LINK FACEBOOK X LINKEDIN MASTODON The China-Russia-North Korea border intersection as seen from Fangchuan located on the Tumen River, China \| Image: NK Pro (Jan. 2021) In a series of recent statements, Russia and China have revived long-dormant discussions about plans to allow Chinese ships to sail down the Tumen River near their border with North Korea in the Far East. But while progress would enable Beijing to realize its decades-old dream of gaining access to the Sea of Japan, it’s far from certain that Pyongyang will play along. The issue suddenly resurfaced in Dec. 2023, when Russian Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin and Chinese Premier Li Qiang held their annual meeting. Buried in the lengthy joint communique was an Read More © Korea Risk Group. All rights reserved. No part of this content may be reproduced, distributed, or used for commercial purposes without prior written permission from Korea Risk Group. LATEST ANALYSIS 01What Israel’s strikes on Hezbollah reveal about risks of preempting North Korea 02North Korea prioritizing land reclamation over major tidal power plant: Imagery 03How North Korea’s new suicide drones could menace the South, with or without AI 04Why North Korea has toned down its response to US-ROK summer exercises 05How Kamala Harris will handle North Korea if she beats Trump this November 06How North Korea and Russia could capitalize on China’s desire for access to sea 07Kim Jong Un’s viral flood tour was actually centered on secret new project 08Yoonification: ROK president makes no room for Kim Jong Un in a unified Korea 09Signs of strain in North Korea-China ties present an opportunity for the US 10North Korea secretly building missile launchers at obscure factory near capital

Analysis

How North Korea and Russia could capitalize on China’s desire for access to sea

Navigating Tumen River would strengthen Beijing’s hand, so DPRK will seek max benefits for giving China what it wants

Artyom Lukin | Pavel Cherkashin August 21, 2024

How North Korea and Russia could capitalize on China’s desire for access to sea

The China-Russia-North Korea border intersection as seen from Fangchuan located on the Tumen River, China | Image: NK Pro (Jan. 2021)

In a series of recent statements, Russia and China have revived long-dormant discussions about plans to allow Chinese ships to sail down the Tumen River near their border with North Korea in the Far East.

But while progress would enable Beijing to realize its decades-old dream of gaining access to the Sea of Japan, it’s far from certain that Pyongyang will play along.

The issue suddenly resurfaced in Dec. 2023, when Russian Prime Minister Mikhail Mishustin and Chinese Premier Li Qiang held their annual meeting.

Buried in the lengthy joint communique was an

01What Israel’s strikes on Hezbollah reveal about risks of preempting North Korea
02North Korea prioritizing land reclamation over major tidal power plant: Imagery
03How North Korea’s new suicide drones could menace the South, with or without AI
04Why North Korea has toned down its response to US-ROK summer exercises
05How Kamala Harris will handle North Korea if she beats Trump this November
06How North Korea and Russia could capitalize on China’s desire for access to sea
07Kim Jong Un’s viral flood tour was actually centered on secret new project
08Yoonification: ROK president makes no room for Kim Jong Un in a unified Korea
09Signs of strain in North Korea-China ties present an opportunity for the US
10North Korea secretly building missile launchers at obscure factory near capital

How North Korea and Russia could capitalize on China’s desire for access to sea

LATEST ANALYSIS

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Artyom Lukin

Pavel Cherkashin