Analysis North Korea’s first ICBM test in years may trigger security crisis in the regionMore launches and another nuclear test are likely as Seoul refocuses on deterrence and containment North Korea conducted its most significant missile test in years on Thursday, marking an official end to Kim Jong Un’s April 2018 moratorium on long-range weapons testing. Besides representing the final nail in the coffin for Moon Jae-in’s diplomatic outreach to Kim Jong Un, the test may also constitute the completion of a major new weapon capability: the Hwasong-17 intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM). As a result, Thursday’s test will likely precede other significant forms of DPRK weapons testing in the months ahead and drive an escalation of tensions on the Korean Peninsula. [/p © Korea Risk Group. All rights reserved. |