The war in Ukraine changes everything — including the future of North Korea



Columns The war in Ukraine changes everything — including the future of North Korea Russia's invasion is the latest event to increase chance Kim Jong Un regime survives and becomes more aggressive Andrei Lankov April 4, 2022 SHARE COPY LINK FACEBOOK X LINKEDIN MASTODON North Korean leader Kim Jong Un visits two frontline units of the Korean People's Army (KPA) in Nov. 2019 \| Image: KCNA An era has ended. The dramatic events of the last three to four years, most recently Russia’s month-old invasion of Ukraine, have demonstrated that the post-Cold War order of the last 30-odd years is gone. Much of what seemed certain has evaporated, and many old assumptions are no longer relevant — including with North Korea. It is a good time to reconsider the DPRK’s future prospects. How will it change in the next 20 or 40 years? There are several factors to consider. An era has ended. The dramatic events of the last three to four years, most recently Russia’s month-old invasion of Ukraine, have demonstrated that the post-Cold War order of the last 30-odd years is gone. Much of what seemed certain has evaporated, and many old assumptions are no longer relevant — including with North Korea. It is a good time to reconsider the DPRK’s future prospects. How will it change in the next 20 or 40 years? There are several factors to consider. Try unlimited access Only $1 for four weeks Unlimited access to all of NK News: reporting, investigations, analysis Year-one discount if you continue past $1 trial period The NK News Daily Update, an email newsletter to keep you in the loop Searchable archive of all content, photo galleries, special columns Contact NK News reporters with tips or requests for reporting Get unlimited access to all NK News content, including original reporting, investigations, and analyses by our team of DPRK experts. Subscribe now All major cards accepted. No commitments – you can cancel any time. © Korea Risk Group. All rights reserved. No part of this content may be reproduced, distributed, or used for commercial purposes without prior written permission from Korea Risk Group. Get the Daily Update Start your day with the North Korea stories that matter most – as selected by And how should we address you in correspondence? One more step! Please check your inbox, for an email we just sent you, and click on the confirmation message in it to get subscribed to our Daily News Update. Trending

Columns

The war in Ukraine changes everything — including the future of North Korea

Russia's invasion is the latest event to increase chance Kim Jong Un regime survives and becomes more aggressive

Andrei Lankov April 4, 2022

The war in Ukraine changes everything — including the future of North Korea

North Korean leader Kim Jong Un visits two frontline units of the Korean People's Army (KPA) in Nov. 2019 | Image: KCNA

An era has ended. The dramatic events of the last three to four years, most recently Russia’s month-old invasion of Ukraine, have demonstrated that the post-Cold War order of the last 30-odd years is gone. Much of what seemed certain has evaporated, and many old assumptions are no longer relevant — including with North Korea.

It is a good time to reconsider the DPRK’s future prospects. How will it change in the next 20 or 40 years? There are several factors to consider.